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NTI Bio, Munich Security Conference: Annual Tabletop Exercise on Reducing High-Consequence Biological Threats

Monkeypox Bioweapon Pandemic Simulation

2021: NTI’s Global Biological Policy and Programs team (NTI | Bio), in partnership with Munich Security Conference, hosted an online “tabletop” pandemic simulation on the 17th of March. In the simulation, monkeypox was genetically engineered as a bioweapon virus and released on 15th May 2022

NTI.org > News > NTI | Bio, Munich Security Conference Convene Global Leaders for Annual Tabletop Exercise on Reducing High-Consequence Biological Threats

...the fictional exercise scenario portrayed a deadly, global pandemic involving an unusual strain of monkeypox virus that first emerged in the fictional nation of Brinia and spread globally over 18 months. Ultimately, the exercise scenario revealed that the initial outbreak was caused by a terrorist attack using a pathogen engineered in a laboratory...

By the end of the exercise, the fictional pandemic resulted in more than three billion cases and 270 million fatalities worldwide...

Report Findings and Recommendations

...National governments should improve preparedness by developing national-level pandemic response plans built upon a coherent system of “triggers” that prompt anticipatory action, despite uncertainty and near-term costs - in other words, on a “no-regrets” basis.

NTI > Report > Strengthening Global Systems to Prevent and Respond to High-Consequence Biological Threats

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NTI Monkeypox Bioweapon Virus Pandemic Simulation Timeline

Source: NTI Paper > November 2021: Strengthening Global Systems to Prevent and Respond to High-Consequence Biological Threats > Page 10

...Highlighting significantly different national outcomes in managing the pandemic, some governments... promptly adopted aggressive measures to slow virus transmission by shutting down mass gatherings, imposing social-distancing measures, and implementing mask mandates. These countries have also established large-scale testing and contact-tracing operations and scaled-up their health care systems to support anticipated growing case numbers. By contrast, the scenario depicts another group of countries... that have prioritized keeping their economies open, undertaking little-to-no NPIs, and downplaying the virus and its potential impacts. These countries have experienced much worse outcomes in terms of illness and mortality...

Source: NTI Paper > November 2021: Strengthening Global Systems to Prevent and Respond to High-Consequence Biological Threats > Page 11

...Triggered national-level pandemic response actions should... include a range of NPIs, including proactive social distancing and mask-wearing guidelines; large-scale testing and contact tracing; large-scale production of PPE and medical equipment... comprehensive risk communication...

Source: NTI Paper > November 2021: Strengthening Global Systems to Prevent and Respond to High-Consequence Biological Threats > Page 23

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NTI | Bio

2001: Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI) was founded by former US Senator Sam Nunn and philanthropist Ted Turner. Warren Buffett is an advisor to the Nuclear Threat Initiative’s Board of Directors. 2018: Nuclear Threat Initiative announced it received $250,000 in funding from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation

Source: Nuclear Threat Initiative on Wikipedia

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2009: Some of America's leading billionaires have met secretly to consider how their wealth could be used to slow the growth of the world's population...

Quoted from Source: The Sunday Times 24th May 2009

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