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Event 201: A Global Pandemic Exercise

Event 201: Coronavirus Pandemic Simulation

2019: Event 201 was a tabletop pandemic simulation conducted on 18th October by the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, in partnership with the World Economic Forum and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. Event 201 simulated a global coronavirus pandemic resulting in 65 million deaths

Event 201 simulates an outbreak of a novel zoonotic coronavirus transmitted from bats to pigs to people that eventually becomes efficiently transmissible from person to person, leading to a severe pandemic. The pathogen and the disease it causes are modeled largely on SARS, but it is more transmissible in the community setting by people with mild symptoms...

The scenario ends at the 18-month point, with 65 million deaths. The pandemic is beginning to slow due to the decreasing number of susceptible people. The pandemic will continue at some rate until there is an effective vaccine or until 80-90 % of the global population has been exposed...

Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security > Event 201

Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in partnership with World Economic Forum and Bill & Melinda Gates FoundationBill & Melinda Gates FoundationJohns Hopkins Center for Health Security

About Event 201     Event 201 Scenario

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Current Vaccines in Development

There are no vaccines currently licensed and available for use against any coronavirus. Coronavirus vaccines for SARS and MERS have been technically challenging to develop and have not made it out of clinical trials...

Development of a vaccine against the CAPS virus will likely take years to achieve. The vaccine development process can take more than a decade...

Some experiments have raised the possibility that immunity incurred from certain coronavirus vaccines can be short lived and that enhanced disease may result from certain coronavirus vaccines. This has prompted some concern that vaccines targeting coronaviruses could lead to adverse events

Quoted from Source: Event 201 > Medical Countermeasures


The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, World Economic Forum, and Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation jointly propose the following:

The World Health Organization (WHO) currently has... contracts in place with pharmaceutical companies that have agreed to supply vaccines... This should also include any available experimental vaccine stockpiles for any WHO R&D Blueprint pathogens to deploy in a clinical trial during outbreaks in collaboration with CEPI, GAVI, and WHO...

Quoted from Source: Event 201 > Event 201 Recommendations

Governments and the private sector should assign a greater priority to developing methods to combat mis- and disinformation prior to the next pandemic response. Governments will need to partner with traditional and social media companies to research and develop nimble approaches to countering misinformation. This will require developing the ability to flood media with fast, accurate, and consistent information. Public health authorities should work with private employers and trusted community leaders such as faith leaders, to promulgate factual information to employees and citizens. Trusted, influential private-sector employers should create the capacity to readily and reliably augment public messaging, manage rumors and misinformation, and amplify credible information to support emergency public communications. National public health agencies should work in close collaboration with WHO to create the capability to rapidly develop and release consistent health messages. For their part, media companies should commit to ensuring that authoritative messages are prioritized and that false messages are suppressed including though the use of technology.

Accomplishing the above goals will require collaboration among governments, international organizations and global business...

Quoted from Source: Event 201 > Event 201 Recommendations

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World Economic Forum: Press Release 15th October 2019

The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in partnership with the World Economic Forum and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation will host Event 201: a high-level simulation exercise for pandemic preparedness and response, in New York, USA, on Friday 18 October, 08.45 - 12.30 EDT.

The exercise will bring together business, government, security and public health leaders to address a hypothetical global pandemic scenario...

Source: World Economic Forum > Press > Live Simulation Exercise to Prepare Public and Private Leaders for Pandemic Response

Center for Health Security: Press Release 24th January 2020

"To be clear, the Center for Health Security and partners did not make a prediction during our tabletop exercise. For the scenario, we modeled a fictional coronavirus pandemic... We are not now predicting that the
  nCoV-2019 outbreak will kill 65 million people..."

Quoted from Source: Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security > Statement about COVID-19 and Event 201 pandemic exercise


Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security
Funders and Partners


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